Gresley vs Halesowen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LIN
5 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 0
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
GRE
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 3
SHE
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Halesowen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STA
4 - 1
HAL
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
4 - 3
KID
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 3
SHE
23%
21%
55%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 0
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
HAL
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |