Gresley vs Grantham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LOU
2 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 1
GRE
37%
27%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
GLA
3 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SAL
2 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 1
LOU
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grantham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 4
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
5 - 1
GRA
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CLI
4 - 1
GRA
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 5
GLA
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 0
RET
21%
24%
56%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |