Gresley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
TIV
72%
16%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRE
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
STO
2 - 3
GRE
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
GRE
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 3
GRE
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 2
GOO
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
GOO
3 - 3
KID
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
GOO
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
GOO
3 - 3
BEL
21%
22%
58%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GOO
0 - 1
RFC
17%
23%
60%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |