Gresley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
TIV
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 4
GRE
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRE
16%
19%
65%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
NEW
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 4
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 1
GOO
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
MIC
1 - 0
GOO
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GOO
2 - 2
MAR
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GOO
2 - 2
RAI
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 0
GOO
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |