Gresley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
SUT
2 - 0
GRE
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 1
ROM
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
5 - 2
SHE
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOO
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
TIV
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GOO
2 - 1
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 4
GOO
32%
26%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
GOO
2 - 1
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOO
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 1
GOO
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |