Gresley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
LOU
4 - 3
GRE
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
RAI
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 2
HAL
39%
25%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
LEE
2 - 0
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
BEL
4 - 1
GRE
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GOO
0 - 0
HAL
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GOO
2 - 1
LIN
36%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COA
1 - 0
GOO
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GOO
0 - 3
COA
13%
18%
70%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BEL
5 - 1
GOO
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |