Gresley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
KID
1 - 2
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 2
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
SPA
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 2
BRI
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
STO
2 - 1
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GOO
1 - 1
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
RET
1 - 3
GOO
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
GOO
1 - 0
QUO
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
GOO
3 - 0
SHE
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GOO
4 - 3
SPA
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |