Gresley vs Glapwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRE
67%
21%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
GRE
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 0
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 1
BEL
24%
25%
51%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Glapwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 4
GLA
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GLA
0 - 1
STO
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
LEE
6 - 0
GLA
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -3 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 1
GLA
20%
22%
59%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
RET
3 - 3
GLA
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |