Gresley vs Daventry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 0
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
RFC
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 2
GRE
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
SHE
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 3
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
DAV
1 - 1
TIV
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 2
DAV
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
DAV
0 - 2
BAS
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DAV
3 - 0
ROM
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +4 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
LEE
5 - 1
DAV
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |