Gresley vs Clitheroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
HAR
3 - 1
GRE
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
OSS
1 - 2
GRE
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 4
GOO
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 0
GRE
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
ALS
1 - 3
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Clitheroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CLI
0 - 5
STO
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
BAM
3 - 1
CLI
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
CHO
2 - 2
CLI
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BRA
7 - 3
CLI
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
CLI
1 - 1
WAK
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |