Gresley vs Clitheroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
KID
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
OSS
2 - 1
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 0
BRI
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ILK
0 - 1
GRE
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Clitheroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CLI
2 - 1
NOR
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CLI
2 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CLI
1 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
WOS
2 - 2
CLI
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
AFC
0 - 2
CLI
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |