Gresley vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
BRI
2 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
ROU
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
WAR
2 - 1
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 3
SPA
63%
20%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
EAS
1 - 3
CHO
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CHO
5 - 0
SHE
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
STO
0 - 0
CHO
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
CHO
3 - 2
OSS
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
SHE
0 - 2
CHO
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |