Gresley vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
LOU
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SHE
0 - 2
GRE
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 4
COR
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 2
GRE
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
BED
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 1
CHA
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 0
KID
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
STA
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 4
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 1
BED
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |