Gresley vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRE
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SLA
5 - 3
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BED
1 - 0
GRE
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
NEW
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
SHE
45%
23%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
STA
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BED
1 - 3
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
NEW
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 2
BAS
27%
22%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |