Gresley vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
TIV
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
LEE
1 - 0
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
KID
0 - 5
GRE
13%
19%
68%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
COA
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
GRE
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 3
LEE
23%
24%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 2
SHE
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
GOO
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
RFC
2 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |