Gresley vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
RAI
3 - 2
GRE
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
LIN
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
ILK
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
HAL
5 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
BEL
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
LOU
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
RED
2 - 0
CHA
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 2
MIC
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
RUG
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
SUT
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |