Gresley vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 2
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 4
ROU
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
WAK
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 3
GRE
34%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
EAS
2 - 1
GRE
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
OSS
1 - 4
BUX
34%
25%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BUX
2 - 0
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
BUX
2 - 0
KID
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
HAR
4 - 3
BUX
15%
21%
63%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BUX
4 - 1
BAM
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |