Gresley vs Basford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BED
2 - 0
GRE
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 2
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 4
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
LOU
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
4 - 0
SHE
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
5 - 1
NEW
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
STA
3 - 1
BAS
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 0
PET
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BED
1 - 1
BAS
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |