Gresford Athletic vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 1
PEN
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
HOL
1 - 4
GRE
62%
20%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
GUI
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HAL
4 - 2
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
FLI
5 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BUC
1 - 0
HOL
44%
23%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
HOL
5 - 7
LLU
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
MOL
2 - 3
HOL
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 2
HOL
34%
24%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 1
BAL
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |