Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HAL
4 - 2
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
FLI
5 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 3
BUC
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
MOL
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 1
GRE
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CEM
1 - 7
GUI
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
GUI
0 - 0
BUC
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
GUI
3 - 2
LEX
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
PEN
4 - 3
GUI
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LLA
2 - 0
GUI
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |