Gresford Athletic vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 3
WRE
14%
22%
64%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 69 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
5 - 0
STA
83%
11%
5%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
LLA
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 3
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RHY
2 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
PRE
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 0
CON
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |