Liga Brasileña Sub 23 Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Gremio U23 vs Vila Nova U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
GRE
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 0
BRA
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
ECV
0 - 2
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
GRE
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
GRE
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
RBB
2 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
APP
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
APP
0 - 0
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |