Paulista B Knock-out stages Last 16
Global 1-0
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
MOG
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 3
GDS
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
MOG
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 4
MFC
13%
18%
70%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
MFC
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 0
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
MFC
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |