Paulista B Knock-out stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MFC
0 - 0
GDS
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 0
MFC
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
MOG
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 3
GDS
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 0
BEB
53%
25%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
BEB
0 - 1
MAT
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAT
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 2
MAT
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
BEB
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |