Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ECN
4 - 1
GDS
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
GDS
0 - 1
JFC
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
GDS
0 - 5
COM
10%
19%
72%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
IND
4 - 1
GDS
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GDS
2 - 0
BFC
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
JFC
0 - 1
ITA
10%
16%
74%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 2
FRA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ECN
1 - 1
ITA
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
COM
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |