Paulista B Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Inter de Bebedouro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEB
1 - 2
GDS
22%
23%
56%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 2
GDS
23%
21%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
GDS
3 - 2
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GDS
1 - 0
PAU
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 1
GDS
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Inter de Bebedouro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEB
1 - 2
GDS
22%
23%
56%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BEB
3 - 1
SJS
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
BEB
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CAT
2 - 0
BEB
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BEB
3 - 0
CAT
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |