Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BFC
2 - 1
GDS
42%
22%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 0
GDS
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
GDS
0 - 1
ITA
13%
18%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ECN
4 - 1
GDS
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
GDS
0 - 1
JFC
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
FRA
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
ECN
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
IND
71%
20%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
BFC
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |