Grêmio Sãocarlense vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BEB
1 - 1
GDS
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
GDS
1 - 2
FRA
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
1 - 2
GDS
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
CAT
4 - 0
GDS
72%
17%
12%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
GDS
0 - 4
CAT
19%
20%
60%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ECN
2 - 1
BEB
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 2
ECN
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
ECN
3 - 1
MAT
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ECN
0 - 1
MFC
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AMP
0 - 0
ECN
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |