Serrano PB vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 0
PAR
48%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
IPB
0 - 0
SPB
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
CSP
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
AUT
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 1
SPB
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 1
BOT
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
AUT
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 1
CSP
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
BOT
18%
24%
57%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOT
12%
22%
67%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |