Paulista B Knock-out stages Semi-finals
Global 2-7
Grêmio Prudente vs União Suzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 0
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PAU
1 - 0
GRE
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAU
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
ECN
41%
26%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
União Suzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
IND
30%
23%
46%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
USA
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
USA
2 - 0
COL
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
COL
0 - 2
USA
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
MAN
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |