Grêmio vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
PPE
0 - 1
GRE
30%
27%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 1
FLA
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
BSC
61%
23%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 2
GRE
21%
27%
52%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
BSC
0 - 3
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 1
PAL
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
VIT
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 3
ATP
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |