Grêmio vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 0
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 3
CRZ
30%
26%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
VIT
3 - 2
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
VIT
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |