Grêmio vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
2.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SJO
2 - 1
GRE
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
BAH
2 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
4 - 1
SJO
89%
9%
3%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
SGA
1 - 3
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 1
GUA
89%
9%
3%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SGA
3 - 2
BRA
9%
17%
75%
|
39 | 77 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 0
SGA
84%
12%
4%
|
39 | 77 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
SGA
1 - 3
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
SJO
3 - 1
SGA
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CAX
2 - 1
SGA
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |