Grêmio vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
16%
27%
57%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
PPE
83%
12%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 1
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
TOM
81%
15%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
3 - 0
OPE
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
TOM
54%
27%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
OPE
35%
31%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
SPO
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |