Grêmio vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
GRE
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 1
GRE
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
FFL
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |