Grêmio vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRE
33%
25%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 1
FLU
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ATP
2 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 0
CRZ
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GOI
3 - 3
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |