Grêmio vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOI
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 2
ATM
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 2
NAU
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 1
JUV
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NAU
5 - 0
ATP
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |