Grêmio vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLU
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
CRZ
4 - 0
GRE
42%
30%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
42%
30%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOI
51%
28%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1990 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
35%
31%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
2 - 2
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
FLU
0 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
COR
1 - 0
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
2 - 2
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |