Grêmio vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
4 - 0
BRA
71%
20%
10%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
ECA
82%
14%
4%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
0 - 3
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
SCI
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
MON
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
ARA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
MON
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 0
MON
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |