Grêmio vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATM
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 0
GRE
18%
27%
55%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRE
19%
28%
53%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
UCO
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
ECS
1 - 1
JUV
29%
31%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 0
GRE
18%
27%
55%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
PAY
0 - 1
JUV
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
JUV
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |