Grêmio vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
GRE
3 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
CRZ
2 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
VEL
1 - 0
GRE
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
GRE
1 - 0
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
BOT
1 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
JUV
2 - 1
VAS
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
POR
1 - 3
JUV
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
VIT
0 - 5
JUV
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
JUV
2 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
PAL
4 - 2
JUV
82%
11%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |