Grêmio vs EC Juventude analysis

Grêmio EC Juventude
84 ELO 78
-2.6% Tilt -2.2%
152º General ELO ranking 142º
24º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
70.4%
Grêmio
17%
Draw
12.6%
EC Juventude

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
Grêmio
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.6%
Win probability
EC Juventude
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grêmio
-4%
-7%
EC Juventude

ELO progression

Grêmio
EC Juventude
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1996
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
55%
24%
21%
83 81 2 0
05 Oct. 1996
CRZ
Cruzeiro
2 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
49%
25%
26%
84 82 2 -1
02 Oct. 1996
VEL
Vélez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
58%
23%
20%
84 84 0 0
29 Sep. 1996
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
60%
23%
17%
84 80 4 0
25 Sep. 1996
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
43%
26%
31%
84 81 3 0

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1996
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
50%
25%
25%
78 78 0 0
05 Oct. 1996
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 3
EC Juventude
JUV
58%
24%
18%
77 79 2 +1
29 Sep. 1996
VIT
Vitória
0 - 5
EC Juventude
JUV
47%
26%
27%
76 73 3 +1
22 Sep. 1996
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 0
Paraná
PAR
57%
24%
19%
76 75 1 0
15 Sep. 1996
PAL
Palmeiras
4 - 2
EC Juventude
JUV
82%
11%
6%
76 87 11 0