Grêmio vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
16%
25%
60%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 2
IQU
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
5 - 0
VER
79%
17%
5%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
ZAM
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |