Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
BOT
53%
25%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
IQU
2 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
16%
25%
60%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 0
FLU
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 1
FLU
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
BRA
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |