Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
PPE
3 - 0
GRE
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATM
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 2
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 2
FFL
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |