Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
GRE
40%
29%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
37%
29%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 3
CHA
60%
24%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 3
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |