Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 1
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOI
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
FLU
3 - 2
JUV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 3
SCI
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 0
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 5
FLU
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |