Copa do Brasil Semi-finals

Global 0-3

Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis

Grêmio Flamengo
88 ELO 90
8.6% Tilt -15%
152º General ELO ranking 127º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.3%
Grêmio
24.3%
Draw
37.4%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.4%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Grêmio
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
44%
26%
30%
88 90 2 0
13 Jul. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
Bahía
BAH
75%
16%
9%
88 80 8 0
09 Jul. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
0 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
57%
23%
20%
88 87 1 0
05 Jul. 2023
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
28%
26%
46%
88 80 8 0
01 Jul. 2023
BAH
Bahía
1 - 2
Grêmio
GRE
31%
27%
43%
88 80 8 0

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
América Mineiro
AMF
66%
20%
14%
90 86 4 0
16 Jul. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
44%
24%
31%
90 90 0 0
13 Jul. 2023
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
32%
25%
44%
90 88 2 0
09 Jul. 2023
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
45%
24%
31%
90 90 0 0
06 Jul. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
61%
21%
18%
90 88 2 0