Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAH
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
BOT
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 1
AMF
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
44%
24%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
ATP
0 - 2
FLA
32%
25%
44%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |