Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis

Grêmio Flamengo
89 ELO 90
8.9% Tilt -10.1%
151º General ELO ranking 127º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.2%
Grêmio
24.7%
Draw
33.2%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.1%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grêmio
-5%
+15%
Flamengo

Points and table prediction

Grêmio
Their league position
Flamengo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
13º
66
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Palmeiras
70
70
100%
Grêmio
68
68
100%
Atl. Mineiro
66
66
0%
Flamengo
66
66
0%
Botafogo
64
64
100%
RB Bragantino
62
62
100%
Athletico Paranaense
56
56
0%
Fluminense
56
56
0%
Internacional
55
55
100%
São Paulo
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Fortaleza EC
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Cuiabá
12º
51
51
12º
100%
Corinthians
13º
50
50
13º
100%
Cruzeiro
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Vasco da Gama
15º
45
45
15º
100%
Bahía
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Santos FC
17º
44
44
17º
100%
Goiás EC
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Coritiba
19º
30
30
19º
100%
América Mineiro
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Grêmio
Flamengo
Champion
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
100% 100%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Grêmio
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
SAO
São Paulo
3 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
54%
24%
22%
89 91 2 0
19 Oct. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 2
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
51%
24%
25%
89 90 1 0
08 Oct. 2023
SCI
Internacional
3 - 2
Grêmio
GRE
52%
25%
24%
89 90 1 0
30 Sep. 2023
FOR
Fortaleza EC
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
52%
25%
24%
89 90 1 0
22 Sep. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
47%
25%
28%
89 90 1 0

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
73%
18%
10%
91 82 9 0
20 Oct. 2023
CRZ
Cruzeiro
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
19%
24%
57%
91 84 7 0
08 Oct. 2023
COR
Corinthians
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
37%
26%
37%
90 89 1 +1
30 Sep. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Bahía
BAH
72%
18%
10%
90 83 7 0
24 Sep. 2023
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
44%
25%
32%
90 90 0 0