Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
GRE
28%
27%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
29%
26%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATM
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 1
SPO
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLA
41%
27%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAO
65%
22%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |