Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis

Grêmio Flamengo
84 ELO 80
-4.5% Tilt -12.7%
152º General ELO ranking 127º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.4%
Grêmio
24%
Draw
20.6%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
Flamengo
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grêmio
-6%
+16%
Flamengo

ELO progression

Grêmio
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2016
COR
Corinthians
0 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
60%
23%
17%
84 88 4 0
06 May. 2016
CEN
Rosario Central
3 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
52%
25%
23%
84 85 1 0
28 Apr. 2016
GRE
Grêmio
0 - 1
Rosario Central
CEN
45%
26%
30%
84 85 1 0
24 Apr. 2016
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
75%
18%
8%
84 64 20 0
22 Apr. 2016
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
19%
25%
56%
85 61 24 -1

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Fortaleza EC
FOR
67%
20%
13%
80 68 12 0
14 May. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
59%
23%
18%
80 75 5 0
05 May. 2016
FOR
Fortaleza EC
2 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
28%
26%
46%
80 67 13 0
24 Apr. 2016
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
46%
27%
28%
81 80 1 -1
21 Apr. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 0
Confiança
CON
80%
15%
6%
81 55 26 0